July 31
Michael Yon summarizes the changes he has witnessed in Iraq:
I have had the feeling for more than a month that top U.S. leadership in Iraq has been being cautious not to show too much optimism at this time. However, I have seen changes with my own eyes in Nineveh, Anbar, and Diyala that are more fundamental than just winning battles. In Nineveh, the enemies of a united Iraq are still strong and vibrant, but the Iraqi army and police in Nineveh clearly are improving faster than the enemy is improving. In other words, the Iraqi Security Forces are winning that particular race. Out in Anbar, the shift actually began to occur last year while Special Forces and other less-than-visible operators, along with conventional forces such as the Marines, began harnessing the mood-shift of the tribes. Whereas in Nineveh the fight has been more like a race and test of endurance, in Anbar the outcome was more like an avalanche. Parts of Diyala, such as Baqubah, witnessed avalanche-like positive changes beginning on June 19 with Operation Arrowhead Ripper. I witnessed the operation and was given full access. However, other areas in Diyala remain serious problems. I have seen firsthand many sectarian issues. There remains civil war in parts of Diyala (largely thanks to AQI). Down in Basra, a completely different problem-set faces the British who themselves are facing tough choices.
Skipping past the blow-by-blow and getting to the bottom line: I sense there has been a fundamental shift in Iraq. One officer called it a “change in the seas,” and I believe his words were accurate. Something has changed. The change is fundamental, and for once seems positive. And so, back to the O’Hanlon-Pollack story in the New York Times, “A War We Just Might Win,” I agree.
So do I.
Read the whole thing here.
A lot of Democrats and some faint-hearted Republicans have gone far out on a limb predicting defeat in Iraq. That presumption has, in effect, been the Democrats’ entire campaign so far. I suspect that there is some frantic recalibrating of their message going on. Practically speaking, this probably helps “Hillary!” Her refusal to apologize for her vote in favor of invasion gives her a fall-back position in case of success there that is not available to her competitors, all of whom have demanded precipitous withdrawal.
Of more parochial interest: If progress continues Murtha’s credibility, what is left of it, will take a big hit.
Comments, compliments or complaints?
“We want to use every tactic and every front to fight this battle,” said English, who accused state lawmakers of picking the “pockets of western Pennsylvanians to prop up Philadelphia’s mass transit system.”